And the draw for the top eight is finally Rievealed!
The fourth round of this year’s Saimoe basically featured complete and utter domination from the Saki faction. With both Akari and Yayoi out, there are very few remaining options left before the tournament officially becomes known as Sakimoe 2012. The fact that so many of the matches in the last round were either tipped in one side’s favour or inter-series matches made for a rather anticlimactic race to the final eight. And now with the draw for the final rounds finally completed, Saimoe is now coming down to the wire. Below you can view what the set up for the finals looks like.
Amazing series diversity, I know? Also, Nodoka vs. Saki, Kuro vs. Yuu? The draw totally wasn’t rigged and is 100% completely randomized.
This is undoubtedly the least amount of variety that Saimoe has ever seen. While 2009 featured 4/8 spots dominated by Saki and 2011 had 4/8 positions falling to the Madoka girls, 6/8 shows just how unstoppable of a force Saki really is. The faction has really done well to ensure 6 of its girls have made it this far, not only rallying more support than any other series but ensuring good match ups due to tactical voting, sniping and fog of war strategies (ie. fake votes and final rushes). Of course, for everyone else who isn’t a die-hard Saki fan, it leaves little to really look forward to since most of the matches undoubtedly will be inter-series (meaning the only people who care will be those who supported Saki in the first place). Last year already proved that vote totals tend to drop if matches are just between two characters of the same series (when they really should be doing the exact opposite for the final rounds). But anyway, what’s done is done and it’s time to move forward.
Since it’s becoming rather tiresome to make individual posts for a bunch of rather straightforward matches, I’ll be doing all my predictions at once here and only making a new post for the semis and final showdown.
Prediction Record R4: (6-2) – 75% (predicted Akari and Ako to win)
Total: (116-36) – 76.2%
Quarter Final 1 – Louise vs. Toki
Of the two non inter-series matches in the quarters, this is sadly a one sided-affair. Though Louise has done well to make it this far in what is likely to be her last ever Saimoe, Toki is just way out of her league. Akari was undoubtedly the strongest non-Saki character prior to the quarters, and she was nowhere near Toki’s level of strength in their heated confrontation. However, being one of the few non-Saki characters left, Louise probably will get a bit of support from any voters who haven’t completely lost faith in the tournament. Unfortunately, it’s likely that they won’t be enough to tip the scales in her favour since if that was true, Akari would have emerged victorious.
Quarter Final 2 – Nodoka vs. Saki
A fated match up in the eyes of many Saki fans (do I smell a conspiracy?). While both characters are only separated by a few votes, in terms of past records, Nodoka is definitely higher up on the pecking order. However, Saki’s victory over Koromo does show that she’s been able to overcome characters from her series who are supposedly more popular than her. Fans of the couple will also probably see it fit to send Saki forward over Nodoka, but being the match of the century, it’s a tricky call.
Quarter Final 3 – Kuro vs. Yuu
Both characters here are currently ranked 2nd and 3rd in terms of vote totals. While they’ve both proven to be untouchable throughout the tournament, one of them will have to kick the bucket here. Unfortunately for Kuro, it’s likely going to be her. The vote totals alone basically show that Yuu is in a prime position to seize the crown.
Quarter Final 4 – Shana vs. Hisa
And to end off the quarters, we’re treated to what is likely to be the most heated (no pun intended) match up. While Hisa is definitely the weakest Saki character who made it to the quarters, she’s still a Saki character meaning she’ll receive plenty of support. Shana is extremely lucky that she got matched up against Hisa, because otherwise, she would definitely burn out against any of the other girls (especially the Achiga Sakis since they can easily procure 500+ votes). Being her final year as well as probably the last remaining torch of hope for non-Saki voters, she will receive quite a bit of support in this match. Whether it’s enough to surpass the weakest Saki left remains to be seen. Shana’s victories over her last few opponents have been extremely narrow, and perhaps another close call will save her yet again.
Finally, to give a rough idea how I see the rest of Saimoe playing out.
2012 is a depressing year.